¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ¾ÅÅ©ÅÊÅ©, £Á£Å£ÉÀÌ ¹ßÇ¥ÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Â Áß±¹ °æÁ¦ÀÇ °£·«ÇÑ Æò°¡£»
Threat from China May Be Empty
By Desmond Lachman¡¡¡¡Posted: Tuesday, July 5, 2005
Already prior to the latest round of lending excesses, China£§s banks were estimated to have non-performing loans on their books in excess of 50 percent of GDP.
Experience with all too many emerging market economic crises should have sensitized us to the folly of simply extrapolating China£§s past impressive economic performance into the indefinite future. Indeed, China£§s very large macroeconomic imbalances should be alerting us to the very real risk of a major reversal in China£§s economic growth performance within the next couple of years.
Âü°í: 1. ¿ª½Ã ¿ø¹®ÀÇ ³»¿ë ±×´ë·Î( ¿ÀÇØ ºÒ½Ä)
2. AEI ´Â ÇöÀç ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ¾ÅÅ© ÅÊÅ©( ºÎ½ÃÇàÁ¤ºÎÀÇ Å×½ºÅ© Æ÷½ºÆÀ)
3. ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ Á¤Ä¡Àû ¸ÅÆÄ(°¼º)ÀÎ ³×¿ÀÄÜ°ú °°Àº ¼ºÇâ.
4. ¹Ì±¹Àº ¹°·Ð ¼¼°èÀûÀ¸·Î ¹«½ÃÇÒ¼ö ¾ø´Â Àý´ëÀû ¿µÇâ·Â Çà»ç °¡´É ´Üü.
5. »ó´çÈ÷ ³ÃÁ¤, À̼ºÀûÀÎ Æò°¡¿Í Àü·«À¸·Î À¯¸í.